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Today's news: China.com finance and Economics on November 20 (Reporter Zeng Qiang) on November 20, the people's Bank of China authorized the national interbank lending center to announce that the quoted interest rate (LPR) of the loan market on November 20, 2020 is: 1-year LPR is 3.85%, and more than 5-year LPR is 4.65%. The quoted interest rates of the two loans have remained unchanged for seven consecutive months As the central bank oversubscribed the one-year MLF on the 16th of this month, the bidding interest rate was 2.95%, which remained unchanged for seven consecutive months. This means that the reference basis of LPR quotation in November has not changed
Wen bin, chief researcher of China Minsheng Bank, said that on the whole, the LPR quotation did not fall this month, which was in line with market expectations and basically adapted to the economic recovery. Since the second half of this year, China's economy and society have gradually recovered from the impact of the epidemic. Previously, the main economic data released by the National Bureau of statistics in October basically met expectations. Production and demand have accelerated along the recovery path, and the economy can achieve positive growth throughout the year. With the stabilization and recovery of the economy, the margin of moderately loose monetary policy has been tightened, focusing more on precision orientation
Wang Qing, chief Macro Analyst of Dongfang Jincheng, further said that since May, the LPR quotation has remained unchanged for seven consecutive months, and the fundamental reason is that during this period, the macro economy appeared & ldquo; V-reverse & rdquo;. Recently, regulators said on several occasions that at present & ldquo; China's economy is relatively strong;, Or & ldquo; Economic growth is better than expected & rdquo;; At the same time, the urban survey unemployment rate fell to 5.3% in October, far below the control target of 6.0% this year. This means that there is no need to reduce the policy interest rate in the short term, and the monetary policy enters & ldquo; Observation period;, More emphasis should be placed on a good balance between steady growth and risk prevention. Among them, in order to combat financial idle arbitrage and prevent flooding, the short-term market interest rate represented by dr007 and the medium-term market capital interest rate center represented by interbank deposit certificate issuance interest rate have risen successively since mid and late May, & ldquo; Tight money & rdquo; The process continues to advance. This inevitably leads to the corresponding rise of the average marginal capital cost of banks, which restricts the quotation banks from compressing the LPR quotation points
With regard to the direction of monetary policy in the next stage, the central bank said at the policy briefing held at the beginning of this month that in the next stage, the prudent monetary policy will be more flexible, appropriate and precise oriented, and the strength, rhythm and focus of the policy will be adjusted in time according to the changes of the situation and market demand. On the one hand, the policies issued in special periods will be adjusted in time and appropriately, On the other hand, we will further strengthen policy support for areas that need long-term support. In addition, the central bank also mentioned the need to avoid & ldquo; Policy cliff;, Prevent the unexpected impact of sudden policy interruption
On the whole, Wen bin believes that with the further recovery of the economy, the monetary policy will remain stable in the next stage, and there will be no trend relaxation in the probability rate, nor too fast tightening of the policy. It will continue to maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity mainly through open market operation and MLF, so as to support the recovery and development of the real economy. Although the probability of reducing the reserve requirement and interest rate is reduced, the manufacturing industry and small, medium and micro enterprises still face certain difficulties in terms of the degree of recovery of the real economy and financial profit transfer. In the first 10 months, the financial system has made a cumulative profit transfer of 1.25 trillion yuan, and the profit transfer target of 1.5 trillion yuan should be completed throughout the year. It is expected that the interest rate will remain volatile, and the financing cost of the real economy will remain stable and decline
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